As we began to digest what came out of Copenhagen, many felt disappointed that a legally binding agreement was not reached and started to look forward to COP16 in Cancun. However, up to this point there are not very high expectations for this round of negotiation which is happening in 6 months.

About a month ago, negotiators from countries that convened in Copenhagen last December met again in Bonn, Germany, to discuss how to connect the outcome of Copenhagen to the negotiation in Cancun. The frustratingly long procedure that we saw at the Bella Center in Copenhagen seemed to repeat itself here. Many countries are still in the mindset that they would be at an economic disadvantage if they spend a little bit more than other countries on climate change mitigation.

The difference between developed and developing countries is still there. Developing countries want to take into account historical responsibility while developed countries want to change the base year to a more reason year to cut even less GHG emission (such as the US, followed by Canada). Developed countries want an across-the-board policy while developing countries focus on cutting carbon intensity but not absolute amount to allow for their economic development (such as China).

According to the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), there were so much frustration that the number of informal meetings happening outside of Bonn processes increased. Norway and France, in one of those meetings, launched an interim REDD+ partnership in an attempt to expedite the progress on key issues outside of the UNFCCC process. The formal UNFCCC meeting itself, ironically, was more focused on the procedures for wording of the text for the agreement as well as discussion on how many more meetings would be needed before Cancun. Yvo de Boer (video of de Boer on the upcoming negation below), Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC, was pessimistic, “I don’t think Cancun will provide the final outcome. I think Cancun can agree on an operational architecture but turning that into a treaty, if that is the decision, will take more time beyond Mexico. Matthew McDermott, a climate negotiation commentary, of Treehugger even suggested skipping COP16 to focus on the negotiation round in South Africa in 2011.

Following the climate change negotiation for me has been very frustrating. It has made me question everything from the efficiency of international negotiation, the advantages and disadvantages of democracy and the role of science in the society. Politics clearly is many years, even decades, behind science. On a more encouraging note, many countries, including the REDD+ partnership mentioned above, are ahead of the pact in climate change mitigation. Businesses in general are also moving more to cutting emissions levels. Politics still slacks behind.

Yvo de Boer at Bonn 2010

Tags: , , , ,

190 Responses to “COP15: high hope – poor outcome. COP16: low hope – ???? outcome”

  1. movie4k says:

    I like the information they give here but it is not very complete

  2. 성인용품 says:

    Everything is very open with a clear explanation of the issues.
    It was definitely informative. Your site is useful.
    Thanks for sharing!

  3. I’m amazed, I must say. Rarely do I come across a blog that’s
    both equally educative and entertaining, and let me tell you,
    you’ve hit the nail on the head. The issue is something that
    not enough folks are speaking intelligently about. Now i’m very happy that I stumbled across this in my hunt for something relating to
    this.

  4. kudabola says:

    the best ever site i can found. Have a lot information i can get. Thankyou !

  5. Finansovo.pl to portal w rzetelny sposób opisujący usługi
    i produkty dostępne w polskich bankach komercyjnych i instytucjach
    finansowych. Bankowość dla klientów indywidualnych, bankowość dla MSP i korporacji.
    Aktualności i promocji bankowe.

  6. However, you may still find many rules you’ll want to learn and
    follow in order to earn money online whether you follow your passion or not.
    Only a nicely certified and well experienced trainer supply you with all the necessary training that you need to be a successful and valuable asset in almost any medical or
    life saver team or the Coast Guard and it’ll enable you to treat people inside your everyday life.
    In the case of massage therapists planning to maintain and improve both their practical skills and industry credentials, massage training courses are vitally important.

  7. Hi there friends, its great piece of writing on the topic of teachingand entirely explained, keep it up all the time.

  8. Having read this I believed it was really enlightening.
    I appreciate you spending some time and
    energy to put this informative article together.
    I once again find myself personally spending a lot of time both reading and leaving
    comments. But so what, it was still worth it!

  9. lyft ipo says:

    Do you have any video of that? I’d like to find out some additional information.

  10. The Proxy says:

    Hello Dear, are you truly visiting this web site regularly, if so afterward you will definitely take nice knowledge.

Leave a Reply

You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>