Category Archives: Risk and resilience

Making decisions in the light of uncertainty from global climate models

  Models are important in all sciences. They are created to synthesize knowledge and quantify effects through mathematical equations. Global climate models are created based on the fundamental laws of physics, as they attempt to translate natural cycles of the … Continue reading

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Predicting the Future of our Climate

  While many uncertainties still linger in regards to the specifics of climate change, some basic facts are definite. The most sure and important fact is that the climate is shifting rapidly, due to anthropogenic causes. As humans continue to … Continue reading

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Climate Models: Are They Useful?

Uncertainty Does Not Mean Inaction Sound decisions can be made about responding to climate change despite significant uncertainties about future climate because high natural variability emerges during the process of modeling Nepal’s climate. It is important to note that Nepal’s … Continue reading

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The Validity of Climate Models in Predicting Climate Change

The increasing political debate on climate change is unnerving. The science behind the linkage between our earth’s changing climate and human impact has been proven for years. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has continued to increase their certainty … Continue reading

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The Importance of Climate Models

Erik Nielsen Professor Leary INTD 250 9/20/17 The Importance of Climate Models While there are certain uncertainties about the earth’s future climate, I still believe that climate models are very useful for making informed decisions to deal with climate change. … Continue reading

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Climate Models

One of the key critiques of climate models is that they are incredibly vague. For example the 2100 precipitation change compared to the 1970-1999 baseline in Nepal is modeled to be between -30% and 100%. It is true that no … Continue reading

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Timeline: 1768 – Prithvi Narayan Shah unifies Kathmandu Valley (Matthew p. 141) 1950 – Nepalese people and King Tribhuvan overthrow the Ranas, ruling party over Nepal, w/ support from India, lead to “Delhi compromise” (Matthew p. 142) 1950 – Delhi … Continue reading

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Nepal Risk Timeline and the 2017 Monsoon Season

Timeline: 1996: February: Maoist Rebellion Begins, civil war ensues 2006: November: Civil War ends leaving 20,000 people dead and more displaced. 2008: May: Nepal becomes a republic 2015: 25 April: Earthquake kills thousands of people and causes widespread devastation 2014: … Continue reading

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Response to President Trump’s Letter on Leaving the Paris Accord

President Trump’s letter explaining why the United States is pulling out of the Paris Agreement is full of lies and muddled half-truths. This essay will focus in on Trump’s claim that the United States economy and workforce would be drastically … Continue reading

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UNFCCC Adaptation

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) provides a well written and concise summary on the topic of climate change adaption. The UNFCCC defines climate change adaptation as the processes, practices, and structures that countries must undertake in … Continue reading

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