{"id":150,"date":"2011-08-25T21:01:45","date_gmt":"2011-08-25T21:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/?p=150"},"modified":"2011-10-03T15:55:23","modified_gmt":"2011-10-03T15:55:23","slug":"evidence-of-anthropogenic-warming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/2011\/08\/evidence-of-anthropogenic-warming\/","title":{"rendered":"Evidence of Anthropogenic Warming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Referring to figure 3 on page 182 in Weart, how would you argue that we have entered a time of anthropogenic warming?\u00a0 If you had been living in the 16th to 19th centuries and had the data of figure 3 to that point in time how would you argue the possibility of climate change?<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0Extrapolating a story from climate change data is difficult because there is a great deal of variability involved.\u00a0 Weather and temperature change constantly so exact numbers often fade to averages and estimates.\u00a0 The further back in history one explores, the more uncertainty there will be simply because of less technology and attention paid to the subject. \u00a0However, through ice, pollen, soil, and fossil samples, scientists have pieced together the story of earth\u2019s climate.\u00a0 The graph on page 182 of Weart\u2019s <em>The Discovery of Global Warming<\/em>, shows temperature changes from the year 1000 AD to 2000.\u00a0 From 1000 to the mid-1800s, there is a huge range of data, but the numbers each year average to about 0.5 degrees of change or less.\u00a0 Although there is natural change, it fluctuates up and down and only slightly.\u00a0 During this time period, humans had far less technology and burned less fossil fuel.\u00a0 Humans still impacted the earth but not on the scale of today.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In the 1850s, the industrial revolution began in Europe and society changed.\u00a0 As it became easier to create, people became more accustom to consuming.\u00a0 The amount of fossil fuels humans burned increased immensely.\u00a0 On the graph, it is clear when this change occurred because the temperature appears to increase without as much up and down fluctuation.\u00a0 From the early 1900s to 1998, the average temperature increased by over one degree Celsius.\u00a0 This seems insignificant, but because of the amount of carbon dioxide humans continue to emit into the environment today, nothing is going to stop this trend from continuing.\u00a0 A few degrees change in temperature is enough to alter the global environment which would have vast negative ramifications for humans.\u00a0 In comparing the graph to the evolution of human society, it is safe to say that people, primarily through the burning of fossil fuels, are causing the climate to warm.<\/p>\n<p>It would be difficult to argue that climate change was occurring prior to the mid-1800s using this graph.\u00a0 There are trends which look like large fluctuations, but the temperature bounces back up or down rather quickly.\u00a0 There are no time periods which parallel the 1900s in consistent temperature change.\u00a0 To some extent, this makes sense because humans were producing minute amounts of greenhouse gases compared to the post-industrial revolution time period.\u00a0 The fact that climate change is only clear in the last century further supports the theory that we have entered a time of anthropogenic warming.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Referring to figure 3 on page 182 in Weart, how would you argue that we have entered a time of anthropogenic warming?\u00a0 If you had been living in the 16th to 19th centuries and had the data of figure 3 to that point in time how would you argue the possibility of climate change?<br \/>\n\u00a0Extrapolating a story from climate change data is difficult because there is a great deal of variability involved.\u00a0 Weather and temperature change constantly so exact numbers often fade to averages and estimates.\u00a0 The further back in history one explores, the more uncertainty there will be simply because of less technology and attention paid to the subject. \u00a0However, through ice, pollen, soil, and fossil samples, scientists have pieced together the story of earth\u2019s climate.\u00a0 The graph on page 182 of Weart\u2019s The Discovery of Global Warming, shows temperature changes from the year 1000 AD to 2000.\u00a0 From 1000 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":853,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19448,1],"tags":[34239,34213,1592,34245,34230,34219],"class_list":["post-150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change-2","category-uncategorized","tag-anna-mcginn","tag-anthropogenic-warming","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-industrial-revolution","tag-spencer-weart","tag-the-discovery-of-global-warming"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/853"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.dickinson.edu\/cop17durban\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}